Grey above and below, pink in the centre

There is a more predictable outlook based on years with a similar sea surface temperature to the current time than based on records from all years. The reliability of the prediction is higher when the pink band is narrow in relation to the grey.

Grey above pink

There is less likelihood of an extended wet period (as projected from all recorded years with the same sea surface temperature) and the same chance of a drier than median rainfall.

Red above and below, pink in the centre

There is highly variable outlook and projections based on years with the same sea surface temperature to the current time are no better than projections based on all recorded.

Red above pink and grey below

There is lower likelihood of an extended dry period and a higher chance of better than normal rainfall and soil moisture based on projections from years with the same sea surface temperature to the current time than on records from all years.

Pink above grey

There is less likelihood of an extended dry period (as projected from all recorded years with the same sea surface temperature) and the same chance of a wetter than median rainfall.

Grey above pink and red below

There is higher possibility of a dry period and less chance of better than normal rainfall and soil moisture based on projections from years with the same sea surface temperature as the current time than on records from all years.